Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 1.075379 1.212162 1.361369 1.536486 1.736727 1.958952 2.224807
2026-01-04 0.889974 1.075978 1.295041 1.573196 1.918567 2.335333 2.879418
2026-01-11 0.761990 0.975275 1.242736 1.605279 2.087731 2.713019 3.593478
2026-01-18 0.663925 0.891254 1.191780 1.622437 2.230749 3.069752 4.332725
2026-01-25 0.576429 0.805586 1.122405 1.598573 2.306787 3.338153 4.985176
2026-02-01 0.495111 0.716003 1.033285 1.530096 2.302827 3.482967 5.468628
2026-02-08 0.435630 0.649607 0.967713 1.484684 2.322341 3.658948 6.019840
2026-02-15 0.389811 0.597738 0.916714 1.453129 2.355835 3.856323 6.630663
2026-02-22 0.367708 0.579620 0.914997 1.498575 2.518726 4.286030 7.709798
2026-03-01 0.342375 0.553274 0.896580 1.512785 2.628135 4.635415 8.696428
2026-03-08 0.311703 0.514834 0.853804 1.479193 2.646844 4.821306 9.396396
2026-03-15 0.284026 0.478692 0.811094 1.440283 2.649658 4.975482 10.054369
2026-03-22 0.273071 0.471484 0.819760 1.499682 2.853432 5.561171 11.750564
2026-03-29 0.259627 0.458612 0.817137 1.537963 3.022409 6.106129 13.475265
2026-04-05 0.246564 0.445107 0.811878 1.570428 3.184342 6.662772 15.345422
2026-04-12 0.232853 0.428987 0.799892 1.587711 3.316523 7.175782 17.221227
2026-04-19 0.215907 0.405028 0.770217 1.564647 3.357183 7.488064 18.659660
2026-04-26 0.196061 0.373585 0.722632 1.497866 3.290115 7.537230 19.417643
2026-05-03 0.180488 0.349296 0.687236 1.453549 3.268964 7.693937 20.503946
2026-05-10 0.167700 0.329544 0.659348 1.422742 3.275660 7.920959 21.840612
2026-05-17 0.162804 0.325618 0.664288 1.467149 3.471854 8.666437 24.879377
2026-05-24 0.155619 0.316229 0.656567 1.481036 3.593463 9.235155 27.517601
2026-05-31 0.145267 0.299196 0.630555 1.448221 3.589988 9.460750 29.114545